Gunfire exchanged between North and South Korea’s security forces

Octubre 24

On October 19 2014, Professor Raymond Tanter was on CCTV America. Security forces from the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) and from the Republic of Korea exchanged gunfire across the de-militarized zone.

Unlike DPRK Iran has opposition: National Council of Resistance of Iran w/ its PMOI in Camp Liberty Iraq

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US nuclear negotiations with Iran.

octubre 20Raymond Tanter appeared on Al Jazeera Arabic 20 September 2014. The topic was U.S. participation in negotiations on the Iranian nuclear file. At issue is whether this involvement may conflict with coalition-building against the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS). Secretary Kerry had indicated “Tehran could play some role” against ISIS, even though it was not a formal party in the coalition.

Tanter spoke against the idea of approaching Tehran because the Iranian regime was responsible for the divisive policies in Iraq that created the political space for ISIS to evolve: Sunni Iraqis defected to ISIS partly due to Iranian-sponsored sectarian actions.

These Iranian efforts made it possible for ISIS to make dramatic gains in northwest Iraq. The same disruptive Iranian policies placed in even greater jeopardy members of an Iranian dissident group—People’s Mojahedin Organization of Iran (PMOI)/Mujahedeen-e-Khalq (MEK), trapped in prison-like conditions in Iraq.

As negotiations to build a coalition against ISIS go forward, expect enhanced efforts by Tehran to link them with hints that it would make concessions in the nuclear talks based on ISIS negotiations. Avoidance of linkage between ISIS coalition-building and the nuclear talks should be a priority of Washington.

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Professor Raymond Tanter on Bloomber TV.

bloomberg october 17On October 14 2014, Professor Raymond Tanter was on Bloomberg  TV discussing; Does U.S. Need Iran in Fight Against Islamic State?

Professor Emeritus Raymond Tanter talks with Trish Regan about the fight against the Islamic State as militants draw closer to Baghdad and the role of Iran in the battle. He speaks on “Street Smart.”

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On October 17 2014, Professor Tanter was on Bloomberg  TV discussing; Mistake to Further Inflame Relations With Iran: Sachs.

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Are U.S. Ground Troops in the Middle East Inevitable?

bloomberg september 23On September 23 2014, Professor Raymond Tanter was on Bloomberg  TV. Discussing the U.S. battle against the Islamic State military group in Syria with Trish Regan on “Street Smart.”

US Boots On Ground unnecessary for Obama  to Succeed if Arab States Keep Iran from Iraq & Help Kurds.

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Where does Turkey fit in the coalition against IS?

cctv september 23For more now on the coalition against the Islamic State, CCTV America was joined by Raymond Tanter. He’s a professor of political science and a former member of the National Security Council in the Reagan-Bush White House.

Tanter Iran worsened Iraq Shiite-Sunni split, allowing ISIS 2 Gain Sunni support + Proxy Threats 2 CampLiberty PMOI.

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U.S. attacks on IS in Syria not in Iran’s interest

USA_Iran_250609Baku, Azerbaijan, Sept. 11

By Umid Niayesh – Trend:

U.S. President Barack Obama said in a televised address to the nation that the United States would strike at the Islamic State in in Iraq and in Syria, too, if needed. This is not at all in Iran’s interest. The Islamic Republic has failed to incorporate the Syrian regime into the anti-IS coalition, an Iranian expert says.

Syrian president, Bashar Assad has no place in the United States new anti-IS strategy, despite all efforts made by Iran, Hassan Hashemian, Iranian expert on Arab region issues told Trend on Sept. 11.

Hashemian also said that Iran itself will be excluded from international anti-IS efforts in Syria, but may be permitted to continue its current position in Iraq.

Iran first tried to dissuade the U.S. from attacking the IS in Syria, the expert explained. When it failed, as second step the Islamic Republic tried to be a part of the coalition that would have made Assad a strategic ally of anti-terrorism coalition.

However, the U.S. refused to accept Iran’s participation and over 40 countries including some regional countries which are against Iran’s policies in Syria will be part of the coalition, Hashemian underlined.

What will be Iran’s reaction towards the forecasted air strikes?

Raymond Tanter, the president of Iran Policy Committee Publishing, believes that Iran is likely to condemn any violation of Syrian airspace and double down on its support for Assad in view of prospective U.S. air attacks and support for Free Syrian Army.

Tanter who served at the White House as a Senior Member on the National Security Council staff told Trend that Tehran can support Assad even more by ordering additional Hezbollah forces into the fight against the Free Syria Army before it becomes more of an effective fighting force with training in Saudi Arabia.

Iran also might transfer more units of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Qods Force units to Syria, from where they are operating now in Iraq, Tanter said. He went on to add that Tehran could provide Assad with surface to air missiles to attack American aircraft operating in eastern Syria, but it is unlikely.

Iranian officials have started making statements against the possible air strikes as well as formation of the anti-IS coalition.

Iran’s Foreign Ministry Spokeswoman Marzieh Afkham expressed suspicion about the international anti-IS coalition, saying there are fundamental questions in the seriousness of the coalition to fight terrorism honestly. She noted that “some countries that join the coalition are supporters of the terrorists in Iraq and Syria.”

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Russian Television–> Arabic US: Help resettle CampLiberty PMOI from Iraq acting for Iran

RT in RT september 9

On September 9 2014, Professor Raymond Tanter was on Russian TV.

The program was for 30 minutes; Raymond Tanter was in Washington and debated the host, Salam Mosafir, who was in Moscow. Mosafir made several allegations of U.S. policy in the Middle East: Washington created the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria (ISIS) to justify using force again in Iraq and extending military action into Syria; the emerging American strategy is to use ISIS as justification to build a coalition that would divide the Arab world; and Washington needed the threat of war to have a reason for increasing defense spending for an ailing American economy in need of a stimulus.

First, Tanter replied that ISIS was not an American creation: It came out of al Qaeda of Iraq and disgruntled remnants of Saddam Hussein’s armed forces, as well as Sunni tribes that had been sidelined by the government of Nouri Al Maliki of Iraq.

Second, the emerging American strategy is to use ISIS as justification to build a regional coalition not to divide the Arab world but to bring it together around a common agenda. Likewise, Washington wanted the new government in Baghdad to be more inclusive so Kurds, Iraqi Sunni and Iraqi Shia might work for a common cause.

Third, in 2013, the United States spent 4.4 percent of its GDP on defense. And although war spending has probably stimulated the U.S. economy to a small degree, the extra income has been partially offset by negative consequences of increased deficits and debt used to finance the wars. In this respect, “The net effect on GDP of war spending has probably been positive but is small and declining. An important impact of war spending has been to raise the nation’s indebtedness.”

Mosafir asked about an Iranian role. Tanter said that for Washington to coordinate with Tehran would be like firemen asking arsonists why they set fires, when, and where to expect the next fire! Rather, Washington should help resettle from Iraq the main Iranian opposition that rejects clerical rule, the National Council of Resistance of Iran; some NCRI members are in Camp Liberty, Iraq held in prison-like conditions. Reaching out to the Iranian opposition might signal to the Arab Gulf States that Washington was taking the Iranian Shiite threat to the Sunni Arab world seriously.

In addition to addressing the critique of host, Salam Mosafir, Tanter drew on some of the following Talking Points in discussing President Obama’s search for a U.S. strategy.

Strategy

Define Threat

Set goals & Means

Adopt Tactics

TRIO of THREAT to Region, Europe, USA by ISIS

Counterinsurgency and Counterterrorism Goals and Means

Degrade conventional army w/airstrikes, a counterinsurgency approach

Pushback insurgents w/ airstrikes + local ground forces, a counterinsurgency approach

Destroy insurgents & terrorists w/ airstrikes, locals, regional, & NATO partners, a combined counterinsurgency, counterterrorism, and coalition strategy

Boots on the Ground in Iraq—Potential Inclusive Government Allows

Kurdish Peshmerga

Sunni Arab Tribes

Shia Arab Militias

Boots on the Ground in Syria

Arms to Moderate Syrian Free Army against ISIS and Al Nushra Front

Include Regional Friends like Jordan & Saudi Arabia but no coordination with Iran

 

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Islamic State Battle: Are U.S. Ground Troops Needed?

bloomberg september 10On 8 September 2014, Raymond Tanter was on Bloomberg TV channel.

Islamic State Battle: R U.S. Ground Troops Needed? Tanter: Nope! Partners’ boots w/ U.S. airstrikes

In today’s “Global Outlook,” University of Michigan’s Raymond Tanter and Bloomberg’s Phil Mattingly discuss the U.S. battle against the Islamic State militant group with Trish Regan on “Street Smart.”

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